Author Archives: scuttleblurb

[BUR/LN – Burford Capital] Part 3: The short heard round the world

In this post, I offer thoughts on the Muddy Waters’ report.  Some of its claims were valid, some were innocuous, and a few seemed so obviously flawed as to be postulated in bad faith.  I was surprised by how readily the write-up was received as gospel truth.  Twitter was inundated with self-loathing from former Burford […]

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[RR/LN – Rolls-Royce] Entry barriers, learning curves, and the hazards of complexity

Below the wings of a widebody commercial aircraft, you might find one of these: That right there is a Rolls Royce Trent 1000 jet engine.  The engine forces air through several compressors, squeezing the air to 1/50th of its original volume before directing it into a combustion chamber, where it is mixed with fuel and […]

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[BUR/LN – Burford Capital] Part 2: Investment returns and valuation

For those of you who are intimately familiar with Burford (there seem to be a lot of you!), bear with me for a few paragraphs as I run through some preliminary concepts for newcomers.    Here is how Burford represents the returns it has generated on its portfolio: ROIC is simply the profits realized on […]

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[BUR/LN – Burford Capital] Part 1: Industry context and competitive advantages

This is a two-parter. Part 1, today’s post, discusses the industry and Burford’s putative moat; Part 2, which will be posted a week from today, digs into Burford’s reported returns (including Cannacord Genuity’s skepticism thereof) and valuation. Law firms are staid institutions, averse to change and culturally ill-suited to bearing risk on high stakes IP […]

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[TTD – The Trade Desk] A gorilla in ad tech?

Google and Facebook have come to dominate online advertising in the US, claiming 60% of the industry’s revenue.  It’s easy to understand why.  With billions of users persistently logged into their properties, Facebook and Google have broader reach than just about anyone in the ad ecosystem and can ensure that impressions are served to as […]

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[TDG – TransDigm] Niches get riches; Part 1

In the Spring 2019 issue of Graham and Doddsville, John Hempton was quoted as saying: “In my case, [I usually want to own] a company that makes a widget that is a small yet important part of a bigger thing, has high switching costs, and has incrementally improved over time. I call this the trifecta. […]

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[EVBG – Everbridge] The ERP of Enterprise Safety

You don’t recognize the value of an Everbridge system until things go bad – bad like a class 5 hurricane is closing in on your warehouse, or a tsunami descending upon your town, or an active shooter roaming the streets outside one of your coffee stores.  The headlines scuttling past you on the TV don’t […]

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[PANW – Palo Alto Networks] Thoughts on cybersecurity and stock-based compensation

Every few years, I parachute into the cybersecurity space and conclude my tour bewildered by the expanse of technology and reminded of familiar plotlines.  There are new focal points and different players occupying the Magic Quadrant, but the basic script remains the same, with analysts and management teams touting arcane feature advantages, speculating on impending […]

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