I finally got around to looking at GNRC this past week. Given the stock’s ostensibly low earnings multiple and a share price that has gotten hammered over the last several years on what appears to be mostly cyclical reasons, I wanted to like the company but couldn’t get there. Disclosure is spotty, management seems slippery, […]
[GNRC – Generac] Value Come, Value Go
Posted By scuttleblurb On In [GNRC] Generac | Comments Disabled[ESRX – Express Scripts] Post-ANTM Thoughts
Posted By scuttleblurb On In [ESRX] Express Scripts | Comments Disabled(2,410 words) [ESRX] After more than a year of acrimonious public squabbling, it appears ANTM will be terminating its relationship with ESRX: The Company’s current long-term PBM contract with Anthem expires on December 31, 2019, and Anthem is currently engaged in a Request for Proposal (RFP) process for a PBM service provider following the end of its […]
Quick Blurbs [Alliance Data, American Express, Bank of America, Interactive Brokers, CarMax, Supervalu]
Posted By scuttleblurb On In [ADS] Alliance Data,[IBKR] Interactive Brokers,[KMX] CarMax,Quick Blurbs | Comments Disabled[GAIA – Gaia] Interesting Company, Less Interesting Price
Posted By scuttleblurb On In [GAIA] GAIA Inc. | Comments DisabledThe ~$100mn float may render this jockey bet too illiquid for some of you hedge fund MoUs. GAIA is a speculative enterprise with a questionable business moat run and 38%-owned by competent CEO/ascetic, Jirka Rysavy, who after spending years building and then paring away various businesses inside (as it is now called) GAIA, is left steering […]
[LYV – Live Nation Entertainment] Some of It’s Magic, Some of It’s Tragic
Posted By scuttleblurb On In [LYV] Live Nation | Comments DisabledLive Nation’s business model is unique, contextually rich, and complicated. While I think this is a decent business – to see this you have to consider all its parts, some of which are mediocre on a standalone basis, as an interlocking whole – I don’t think the purported “platform” is as interesting as I initially […]
[LEN – Lennar] Valuation Update
Posted By scuttleblurb On In [LEN] Lennar | Comments DisabledLEN’s y/y home delivery growth has decelerated significantly over the last several years (from mid-teens in fy14 to 9.5% LTM), but in chorus with other builders, the company is singing an optimistic refrain post-Trump. “Since November we have seen a combination of renewed optimism, wage and job growth, and consumer confidence. As a result, our homebuilding […]
[AMZN – Amazon, GOOG – Alphabet] Trillion Dollar Baby
Posted By scuttleblurb On In [AMZN] Amazon,[GOOGL] Alphabet | Comments DisabledWhen paired with a (truly) stable capital base, “behavior” is cited by many, including myself, as the supreme edge – trumping information (in theory, equally accessible to all) and analysis (smart people abound) – since, when investing over a long time-frame, what matters more than the singular decision to buy a stock is how we behave through […]