LEN’s y/y home delivery growth has decelerated significantly over the last several years (from mid-teens in fy14 to 9.5% LTM), but in chorus with other builders, the company is singing an optimistic refrain post-Trump. “Since November we have seen a combination of renewed optimism, wage and job growth, and consumer confidence. As a result, our homebuilding […]

Conservatively, the US needs to build about 1.3mn homes annually (MF and single-family) to keep pace with household formation (population growth + “headship” rates) and secondary home demand, and replace destroyed housing stock.  Based on Census Bureau data, it looks like we overbuilt by around 3.5mn units from 2000 to 2007 and underbuilt by 4.1mn […]